P(doom)

lucumr.pocoo.org

26 points by lumpa 7 hours ago


passive - an hour ago

This is the closest to my feelings about this entire situation I've ever seen written, covering a lot of the different facets of how stupid and painful it is (though it's been a good week for that kind of post.)

Since I have incredible respect for Armin and his work, this is very nice to see, and I hope it wakes some other folk up.

demibabs - an hour ago

I’m not the biggest fan of Ed Zitron, but something he said that stuck with me is:

OpenAI and Anthropic spend much time warning us about “what if powerful AIs got into the wrong hands?”

But it’s already in the wrong hands.

1986 - an hour ago

He really elides his thoughts on the "RSI business", wish he could have gone into a bit more depth there. Good post, though.

chis - 11 minutes ago

> I don’t think AI is going to usher in an extinction event. In fact, even if nobody were to slow down, I really don’t think humanity would have much to worry about.

I mean sure. If you feel that way then your p doom is zero, and it makes sense to worry about things like market concentration or losing the fun of software engineering.

esafak - 42 minutes ago

wtf?? P(doom) relates to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Existential_risk_from_artifici... How would open source models bring about a MAD between humans and AI? By enabling us to wield aligned AI against nonaligned AI? If so, he should say so, and elaborate how open source models further that goal.