Andreessen Horowitz is investing billions into a bleak future

modelrepublic.org

534 points by reasonableklout 9 hours ago


pulkitsh1234 - 5 hours ago

"A man who wishes to make a profession of goodness in everything must necessarily come to grief among so many who are not good. Therefore, it is necessary for a prince, who wishes to maintain himself, to learn how not to be good, and to use this knowledge and not use it, according to the necessity of the case" -- Niccolo Machiavelli

It's a self fulfilling prophecy... while us commoners, or so called "activists" or ethicists ponder and debate on culture, morality, law and ethics... The powerful are just living an alternate life devoid of all these moral qualms and are have clearly distanced themselves from the mundane, have distanced themselves from the guilt or any kind of accountability. In their eyes, they are just capitalising on the human tendencies which have been always existed (the seven deadly sins), so the "absolve" themselves pretty quickly by saying that they are not creating new "sins", just leveraging, or allowing the people to go along those sins.

They think, why should they be the ones to not capitalise on them, if someone else might and will. It's a coordination problem of our society. No one wants to let go. They want to hedge, they invest in ozempic and invest in fast-food at the same time, there is no moral compass guiding them. It's for us commoners to debate and think about.

vintermann - 7 hours ago

> Lee's stated goal was to “desensitize everyone to the phrase ‘cheating.’” If you say it enough, he argues, “cheat begins to lose its meaning.” A16z praised Lee's approach as “rooted in deliberate strategy and intentionality.”

Investors: but surely they won't cheat me!

radarsat1 - 8 hours ago

I know this is a very minor point in the article, but reading the message next to the Doublespeed phone farm:

> out of 130 dms sent, 15 pointed to a conversion.

> From a former ecom guy's lens this is insane

Why do these otherwise very smart people always seem to draw these kind of shortsighted conclusions? It seems pretty obvious to me on the surface that this "works" because it's new. As soon as it becomes common place people will see that channel of communication as a source of coercion/marketing and start to ignore it. Aside from the fact that he seems to be drawing massive conclusions about the viability of a business based on extremely little data here, it seems really naive to not consider in his calculations the long term effects of essentially ruining the value of the channel that you are exploiting to get those numbers in the first place.

tedggh - 8 hours ago

How come Flock is not listed? That’s the most troubling company a16z has heavily invested on and supported.

chaseadam17 - 35 minutes ago

On one hand, VCs that fund thousands of early-stage startups are inevitably going to fund some bad stuff, even if they try hard to avoid it.

On the other, the older I get the more I worry about the decline of spirituality in the West. Especially in tech, I sometimes feel like I’m living in a hyper rational snowglobe of people optimizing a local maxima, not even considering (and often looking down on) the possibility that there are larger, more important games to play.

Zigurd - 2 hours ago

This is just one of the things turning China into a relatively less dangerous and harmful trading partner. I've often wondered aloud how the US tech industry is going to deal with losing international markets, which have historically been half their sales in mature product categories.

Investors might be attracted to the bleak future they are selling, but they are selling a shrinking share of the world economy.

I can think of one way to explain it, and it's not good: they expect global war.

flipgimble - 2 hours ago

I think this is a symptom of Big Tech and VCs scraping the bottom of the barrel to extract as much capital and social control from what remains of the good will for technology as a whole. They are literally running the internet into the ground. The popular backlash is brewing. I see this in increasing opposition to flock cameras, anti data-center activism, or generally against companies that extract, exploit and control instead of contributing to the common good.

bambax - 7 hours ago

Marc Andreessen is an evil man with the behavior (and appearance!) of a Bond villain.

JSR_FDED - 7 hours ago

Don’t forget a16z’s breathless boosterism of NFTs and Crypto.

They really are the gift that keeps on giving.

Otterly99 - 2 hours ago

I'm actually baffled that some of these companies are even allowed to sell their services. Especially the deepfakes and the fake doctor notes for tax reduction.

Is investing in these companies even legal?

ape4 - 3 hours ago

It should be possible to make money by inventing projects and services that make people's lives better.

TwoFerMaggie - 7 hours ago

Not surprised at all as Marc Andreesen has been in the rabbit hole for a while: https://www.semafor.com/article/04/27/2025/the-group-chats-t...

DrScientist - 5 hours ago

How about an AI startup up that automatically finds companies whose stated business model is to flout existing laws, and then initiates legal proceedings.

Funded by the fines it generates for governments.

larodi - 6 hours ago

Humpty is a joker and a con man, and a man without vision (in his own words!).

octocop - 8 hours ago

If your metric is growth I guess this is where you end up

leejongyon - an hour ago

Great read. Nice advertising.

mrtksn - 7 hours ago

People often forget that the world is not just US or "the West". What he is investing in is a phase that the West certainly is headed into and we will be testing the idea of creating a feedback loop that gives more and more power to people who are successful in one thing to call the shots in all other things. I would say so far those people demonstrated very low efficiency and inability to match the ranks of the China Communist party in pretty much all metrics, including the creepy stuff. One may argue that the Western way of doing dystopia is a self-correcting loop, so maybe eventually we may have more advanced and optimized dystopia than what China or Russia can achieve through centrally held power. Alternatively maybe the human nature will prevail and all this will actually lead to another run of freedom and democracy. Considering the history of Europe, both can happen as stages of a continuous loop.

Anyway. China, India and others will have their own futures with their own theories on how the society is supposed to function, so no the future be it bleak or bright is not the future of humanity but USA and to some degrees Europe and the rest of Americas.

torginus - 8 hours ago

If you think this is morally acceptable, in which case, what you're doing is essentially trying to trick the algorithm to uprank your content. But people at Facebook/X/Youtube can just update a table row and accomplish 1000x as much as you're trying to do. Their business model is selling a less powerful version of that.

When I was a kid, I used to go on private WoW servers. There were always people there who would invariably try to pick a fight with admins. It always went the way you expected.

walrus01 - 8 hours ago

You know how sometimes you're exploring a location in a post-apocalyptic video game and find a message on a 'datapad' or scrawled on the wall in blood or something, as a world building fiction exercise to inform the player how screwed up the dystopia became in its last days before everything went totally to shit? Well, now I have some new material for you...

ModernMech - 6 hours ago

Of course, isn’t Andreessen the one who believes introspection is a waste of time, a fad from the 1900s the only outcome of which is to slow one down? Why even consider the long term consequences of your actions when they can make you billions of dollars in the short term? Introspection, like empathy, is for suckers and losers.

TrackerFF - 5 hours ago

Sometimes when I see these comically dystopian surveillance startups, I sort of wonder what the founders were thinking when they came up with the idea?

Like, were they just watching some random documentary about China, and noticed how their surveillance state works - and said to themselves "You know, that's exactly what we need here!"

Or is it just purely greed? They see some potential cash crab, and come up with some rationalization that doesn't sound that bad ("We'll catch criminals").

I just wonder what type of founder walks up to a VC, and pitches some idea with the explicit goal of robbing everyone of their privacy even a bit more.

antiloper - 4 hours ago

This problem can be resolved easily by re-introducing ostracism.

Havoc - 8 hours ago

Intentionally going after old people because they’re more susceptible to AI and declaring as much on record is fuckin wild.

Does SV now optimize for evilness?

seydor - 6 hours ago

Probably it's a random sample of AI companies. Curing cancer is the marketing slogan, AI is not capable of doing that. But it's good enough to impress bankers and lawyers who will keep inflating the bubble for the foreseeable future.

zipy124 - 8 hours ago

I mean a lot of successful new tech companies were about side-stepping legislation. Some that are missing here are airbnb which effectively side-stepped fairly strict hotel legislation (Though there is a case to be made that it simply improved short-term lodging), and uber which side-stepped strong taxi/private-hire legislation.

This is one of the primary reasons that tech startups flourish in America but not in Europe.

65 - an hour ago

It makes me question if we are starting to approach maximum entropy with software startups, and so deception and morally questionable "startups" are what's left. Software now costs nothing to build, and most of the obvious ideas have been created, and the network effects of big companies have been firmly dug into the ground.

The second law of thermodynamics applies to software, and this is what's left.

suttree - 2 hours ago

The dumb thing about dumb things.

hydrolox - an hour ago

Related: https://www.theverge.com/tldr/897566/marc-andreessen-is-a-ph...

srameshc - an hour ago

The founders of these starups make Mark Zuckerberg look good. I think this is how we are moving forward as a society generation after generation.

wseqyrku - 7 hours ago

All investors do this, they don't really have an idea of "the future" they want to build. They just "find something they can throw money at". Their words, not mine.

alex1138 - 8 hours ago

I remember reading about Andreessen coaching Zuckerberg, having to spoon feed him answers at trial, and apparently he was one of the masterminds behind the dual class shares/proposed third class of share

(I mean that Zuckerberg apparently understood nothing. I mean when I say, 'spoon feed')

This is the same man who came out and said Snowden is a traitor. Now, I've since heard other versions on this so I'm willing to entertain the arguments. But a top VC being like he is, well, it's concerning. It's concerning he chooses what to fund

- an hour ago
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damnesian - an hour ago

>“They're hitting like the old person niche, which is what I think is like the best niche to hit with AI content.”

Andreeson et al should have their asses RICOd.

an0malous - 4 hours ago

@pmarca: Current status: Retardmaxxing.

https://xcancel.com/pmarca/status/2033989507213889615

ambicapter - 2 hours ago

This list is comically long, holy shit.

eutropia - an hour ago

All the parasitic grifters founding these companies seem to be characterized by a uniform lack of human decency.

if the best idea you can come up with for a company is is some variation exploiting humanity, you're not a visionary or an entrepreneur.

You're just an asshole.

kristjansson - an hour ago

“Passive Income? Bro, I need MASSIVE INCOME” as the tagline of a sports gambling operation … I guess “your desperation is our opportunity, give us your money you illiterate innumerate peasant rube fuck you” didn’t fit on the billboards?

1vuio0pswjnm7 - 2 hours ago

Nouveau riche

rbanffy - 8 hours ago

And you know that when someone bets so much money in a dystopian future, they’ll actively work towards that outcome.

roschdal - 3 hours ago

https://dune.fandom.com/wiki/Butlerian_Jihad

spacechild1 - 6 hours ago

I guess that's were you end up when you aim for "zero introspection". Marc Andreessen proves again and again that he's an utter piece of shit.

walrus01 - 8 hours ago

Well this is all pretty fucking horrifying.

EGreg - an hour ago

Wow that doublespeed site is ... something else https://www.doublespeed.ai/

A16Z invested $1M in them?

And here I thought I was being scrupulously ethical in 2023 when I was yelled at by HN for making a much milder proof of concept, the first project I ever did in AI:

https://engageusers.ai/

vrganj - 6 hours ago

The guy that quoted some of the early fascists in his reactionary manifesto that included a list of enemies wants to build a bleak future? Say it ain't so!

"I have zero introspection. As little as possible" https://www.youtube.com/shorts/b6Zw50f5jJk

We can tell, Marc. It's not a good thing. It's the sort of thing oblivious villains say.

andrewstuart - 5 hours ago

“Ethics” and “Silicon Valley” like oil and water.

cineticdaffodil - 6 hours ago

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remoroid - 4 hours ago

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conartist6 - 9 hours ago

[flagged]

utopiah - 5 hours ago

So... nothing new? /s

You naively thought Silicon Valley was just a funny TV show about people wanting to make money, a lot of it, but even that was an idealized version.

Hikikomori - 8 hours ago

They're also part of the same group of christian tech feudalists as Thiel and supports trump/project 2025. Seems like they all went insane because the government can still say no to them.

picafrost - 5 hours ago

The US consumer economy must grow. Regulating anything that has the potential to continue its growth is simply not a priority for the current US administration, and investors won't miss out on big tech exits as they grow more scarce. Let the gamblers gamble, let socially harmful uses of AI proliferate, let the surveillance state spread, as long as they generate revenues that do not collapse* the economy. If they produce individuals harmful to society, well, indignants can be Flocked, fined, and, if necessary, imprisoned.

Flouting the law ahead of regulators has always been a strategy in startups, only now the stakes are not "get a ride to the airport."

Valakas_ - 6 hours ago

For me it's insane, how in this day and age, we don't conduct DSM-V / ICD tests (interviews) that screen for Cluster B personality disorders on everyone, and bar, at least those with anti-social PD, psychopathy, or extreme forms of narcissism, to work in positions of influence or power over others.